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Bank of England deputy governor suggests further interest rate hikes are likely

06 November 2017

Hundreds of Islanders who have never experienced an increase in the base rate now face paying more every month nearly immediately after the base rate was increased from 0.25% to 0.5% - the first rise in a decade.

"We expect the United Kingdom central bank to hike at most one more time in the coming quarters, and as such we see GBP continuing to depreciate against both the euro and US$ next year, as Brexit and growth concerns continue to weigh on the minds of investors", says Royce Mendes, an economist at CIBC Capital Markets.

The bank signaled that rates may have to rise twice in the three-year horizon period ending 2020.

The fund was introduced by the Bank in August previous year when the base rate was reduced from 0.5 per cent to 0.25 per cent to encourage banks to pass on cuts in the base rate to customers.

"Were it not for well-above-target inflation, it appears highly unlikely that yesterday's historic hike would have occurred, and the pound remains susceptible to further declines going forward", said David Cheetham, chief market analyst at X-Trade Brokers.

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According to Mr Seymour, someone on a tracker mortgage now paying 3.49% over 30 years on a £460,000 property - the average cost of a home in Jersey - and for which they paid a ten per cent deposit, will see their monthly payments increase by £59 a month.

In a statement Thursday, the Bank of England said it had increased its benchmark rate to 0.50 percent from the record-low 0.25 percent.

The thing about fixed rates is that they don't last forever.

If you have a fixed rate mortgage now, interest rate rises won't affect you now but, when it comes to looking for your next deal you may find the interest rates on the market are significantly higher. Over half of all mortgage borrowers - 4.2 million - are on fixed rates, including more than 80% of all new lending, and about half of them are due to end before around Christmas 2018. They said: "Following the rates rise, we would expect to see some higher interest rates to be passed on to savers".

However the average domestic mortgage of around £175,000 will now cost households around £22 per month extra (if the home owner is on a variable rate deal) and whilst this is a relatively modest amount it will put further pressure on already tight household budgets.

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Latest figures from the FCA (Financial Conduct Authority) show that in August 2017 there were 200,772 mortgage loan accounts with arrears of more than 1.5% of the current loan balance.

He said: 'It's a drop in the ocean and we won't see any impact yet.

It could be harder to get on the housing ladder for first time buyers, with private renting now at a level higher than any since the 1960s and increasingly unaffordable in commutable areas of larger cities. So that means only one rate increase before Britain is scheduled to leave the European Union in March 2019.

The interest rate was reduced previous year to boost the United Kingdom economy in the immediate wake of the Brexit vote.

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Bank of England deputy governor suggests further interest rate hikes are likely