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GOP Senate primaries set the stage for November elections

11 May 2018

Problem is, Don Blankenship, now running for Senate, can't win the General Election in your State... A small state, it hosts one of the most tightly contested Senate races of the midterms.

Mr. Donnelly is matched against Mike Braun, a wealthy businessman who ran as a political outsider, and who Republicans believe will serve as validation of Mr. Trump's policies and anti-Washington appeal. Luke Messer and Todd Rokita. In three of those contests, Republicans remain strong favorites to hold the seat, but Democrats landed candidates they feel are good fits for the districts.

Voters across four states Trump carried in 2016 are deciding primary elections Tuesday. Even if that trend holds true for Election Day voters, it's unknown whether those voters had been longtime Democratic voters before 2016 or if they were "Kasich Republicans", as the Cordray campaign claims.

Cordray handily defeated former U.S. Rep. Dennis Kucinich, who ran to his left on an anti-gun, pro-environment platform to finish a distant second in a six-candidate field. Her 99,455 votes cost the equivalent of vending machine Doritos (51 cents).

Sen. Shelley Moore Capito did not endorse a candidate during the just-concluded primary campaign.

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He also made headlines when he referred to the father of the wife of Senator Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) as a "China person", and then doubled down in ad where he repeated the phrase and referred to McConnell as "cocaine Mitch".

Renacci became the front-runner with Trump's backing and his personal wealth, which allowed him to pour his own money into the campaign for ads. On the bright side, he's no longer on probation as of midnight Tuesday.

Patrick Morrisey, the state's attorney general, won the primary election and will face Joe Manchin, the incumbent Democrat, in November. The drug company sued West Virginia in 2015 to keep a "preferred" status in the state's Medicaid offerings, a case Morrisey's office defended.

Jenkins and Morrisey have mostly focusing their campaigns on their own merits, and on criticism of Manchin and each other.

The fundraising disparity was equally remarkable: Manchin raised $5 million and spent almost $1.4 million on the primary campaign, compared to only $184,000 for Swearengin, an accounting clerk from a coal-mining family in southern West Virginia.

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In Ohio, where liberal Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is another top Republican target, U.S. Representative Jim Renacci won the battle for the Republican Senate nomination over Cleveland-area investment banker Michael Gibbons.

The next highest spender was a super PAC linked to the GOP establishment, which aimed to avoid that same scenario.

Blankenship is 'adding uncertainty to West Virginia politics, ' Robert Rupp, a political history professor at West Virginia Wesleyan College, tells the Associated Press.

Similarly, the Koch donor network's flagship group, Americans for Prosperity, has run at least 15,000 ads this cycle, some of which reached voters in IN, though none of that spending has been reported to the FEC. Vice President Mike Pence's brother Greg is hoping to get the Republican nod for an open congressional seat. Although it is hard to calculate how much Democrats need to win the House national vote by (which the generic congressional ballot is roughly measuring) in order to win a majority of seats, 7 points seems to be a consensus estimate with a wide margin of error. (Data for Jeannine Lee Lake, the Democratic victor in Indiana's 6th District, was unavailable because she hadn't raised or spent more than $5,000).

Indeed, a rough guide is that Democrats will pick up an additional three to four seats for every point they gain in the national vote. Only two candidates who outspent their opponents won nominations. He admitted IN is "a Republican state, but it's hard to beat an incumbent". Trump's approval rating in IN stands at 53% and he won the state with 56.5% of the votes.

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He and the party's candidates for attorney general, secretary of state, auditor, treasurer and state Supreme Court vowed to lay out November as a choice between a party that works for average people and one that caters to special interests.

GOP Senate primaries set the stage for November elections